Data di Pubblicazione:
2012
Abstract:
Benford's analysis is applied to the recurrence times of approximately
17,000 seismic events in different geological contexts of Italy over the last 6 years,
including the Mt. Etna volcanic area and the seismic series associated with the destructiveMw
6.3, 2009 L'Aquila earthquake. A close conformity to Benford's law and
a power-law probability distribution for the recurrence times of consecutive events is
found, as typical of random multiplicative processes. The application of Benford's
law to the recurrence event times in seismic series of specific seismogenic regions
represents a novel approach, which enlarges the occurrence and relevance of Benfordlike
asymmetries, with implications on the physics of natural systems approaching a
power law behaviour. Moreover, we propose that the shift from a close conformity
of Benford's law to Brownian dynamics, observed for time separations among nonconsecutive
events in the study seismic series, may be ruled by a periodical noise
factor, such as the effects of Earth tides on seismicity tuning.
Tipologia CRIS:
04.02 Abstract in Atti di convegno
Keywords:
Seismic hazard; Tidal frequencies; Random multiplicative process; Random additive process
Elenco autori:
Sottili, Gianluca; Giaccio, Biagio; Messina, Paolo
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