The construction of an Ito model for geoelectrical signals

The Ito stochastic differential equation governs the one-dimensional diffusive Markov process. Geoelectrical signals measured in seismic areas can be considered as the result of competitive and collective interactions among system elements. The Ito equation may constitute a good macroscopic model of such a phenomenon in which microscopic interactions are adequately averaged. The present study shows how to construct an Ito model for a geoelectrical time series measured in a seismic area of southern Italy. Our results reveal that the Ito model describes the whole time series quite well, but it performs better when one considers fragments of the data set with lower variability range (absent or rare large fluctuations). Our findings show that generally detrended geoelectrical time series can be considered as approximations of Markov diffusion processes.