Reliability of ERA5 Reanalysis Data for Wind Resource Assessment: A Comparison against Tall Towers
Articolo
Data di Pubblicazione:
2021
Abstract:
The reliability of ERA5 reanalyses for directly predicting wind resources and energy production
has been assessed against observations from six tall towers installed over very heterogeneous
sites around the world. Scores were acceptable at the FINO3 (Germany) offshore platform for
both wind speed (bias within 1%, r = 0.95?0.96) and capacity factor (CF, at worst biased by 6.70%)
and at the flat and sea-level site of Cabauw (Netherlands) for both wind speed (bias within 7%,
r = 0.93?0.94) and CF (bias within 6.82%). Conversely, due to the ERA5 limited resolution (~31 km),
large under-predictions were found at the Boulder (US) and Ghoroghchi (Iran) mountain sites, and
large over-predictions were found at theWallaby Creek (Australia) forested site. Therefore, using
ERA5 in place of higher-resolution regional reanalysis products or numerical weather prediction
models should be avoided when addressing sites with high variation of topography and, in particular,
land use. ERA5 scores at the Humansdorp (South Africa) coastal location were generally acceptable,
at least for wind speed (bias of 14%, r = 0.84) if not for CF (biased by 20.84%). However, due to the
inherent sea-land discontinuity resulting in large differences in both surface roughness and solar
irradiation (and thus stability conditions), a particular caution should be paid when applying ERA5
over coastal locations.
Tipologia CRIS:
01.01 Articolo in rivista
Keywords:
wind resource; wind energy; reanalysis; ERA5; tall tower; complex site
Elenco autori:
Gualtieri, Giovanni
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