Stress/Rest Myocardial Perfusion Abnormalities by Gated SPECT: Still the Best Predictor of Cardiac Events in Stable Ischemic Heart Disease

The prognostic power of myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) has been demonstrated since planar imaging. We aimed to investigate whether gated SPECT retains this value in current cardiology if compared with a complete diagnostic work-up and with more recent prognostic indicators. Methods: We selected from our database a cohort of 676 consecutive inpatients who underwent a complete diagnostic work-up that included gated SPECT and coronary arteriography for known or suspected IHD. Patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI), previous coronary artery bypass surgery, or overt hyperthyroidism and patients who were undergoing dialysis treatment were excluded. During follow-up (median, 37 mo), 24 patients died from cardiac causes and 19 experienced a nonfatal MI. Results: The following were determined to be independent predictors of event-free survival (cardiac death and nonfatal MI) in the different phases of diagnostic work-up using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis: among clinical variables, a previous MI; among laboratory examinations, serum creatinine and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol levels; among electrocardiographic and echocardiographic variables, left ventricular ejection fraction; and among SPECT variables, summed rest score (SRS) and summed difference score (SDS). In addition, a score of coronary stenoses at angiography was an independent predictor. When the above predictors were tested together, SRS (P , 0.0001), SDS (P 5 0.0108), and serum creatinine (P 5 0.0186) and LDL and HDL cholesterol levels (P 5 0.0222) were the final independent predictors of event-free survival. When gated SPECT was added to the clinical, laboratory, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables, the prognostic stratification significantly improved (P , 0.05); when coronary arteriography was added to gated SPECT, prognostic stratification did not further improve (P . 0.25). If t