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How News May Affect Markets' Complex Structure: The Case of Cambridge Analytica

Articolo
Data di Pubblicazione:
2018
Abstract:
The claim of Cambridge Analytica, a political consulting firm, that it was possible to influence voting behavior by using data mined from the social platform Facebook created a sudden fear in its users of being manipulated; consequently, even the market price of the social platform was shocked.We propose a case study analyzing the effect of this data scandal not only on Facebook stock price, but also on the whole stock market. To such a scope, we consider 15-minutes prices and returns of the set of the NASDAQ-100 components before and after the Cambridge Analytica case. We analyze correlations and Mutual Information among components finding that assets become more correlated and their Mutual Information grows higher. We also observe that correlation and Mutual Information are mutually increasing and seem to follow a master curve. Hence, the market appears more fragile after the Cambridge Analytica event. In fact, as it is well-known in finance, an increase in the average value of correlations augments the systemic risk (i.e., all the market can collapse as a whole) and decreases the possibility of allocating a safe investment portfolio.
Tipologia CRIS:
01.01 Articolo in rivista
Keywords:
social media; complex networks; financial series
Elenco autori:
Quattrociocchi, Walter; Zollo, Fabiana; Scala, Antonio
Autori di Ateneo:
SCALA ANTONIO
Link alla scheda completa:
https://iris.cnr.it/handle/20.500.14243/354642
Pubblicato in:
ENTROPY
Journal
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Dati Generali

URL

https://doi.org/10.3390/e20100765
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