Ecological risk assessment of pesticide mixtures in the alluvial aquifers of central Italy: Toward more realistic scenarios for risk mitigation

In this study we used the data of an extensive pesticide monitoring survey that took place in 11 alluvial aquifers of central Italy from 2010 to 2015 to explore 4 different scenarios of risk. The Scenarios 1 and 2 were used to depict the risk of failing to meet the good groundwater chemical status as defined by the Water Framework Directive. The Scenarios 3 and 4 were used to assess for the first time the ecological risk in groundwater bodies, defined as the likelihood of hazard to the groundwater communities stably residing in the 11 alluvial aquifers that may be affected by pesticide contamination. The ecological risk was assessed through a new procedure called GERAp (Groundwater Ecological Risk Assessment due to pesticides). The main results of this study highlighted that: 1) the Scenario 1 provided information of little use for risk managers; 2) more realistic information was provided by using the highest concentrations measured in the six-year monitoring period and considering the ecological risk in a combined scenario (Scenarios 2 and 4); 3) the achievement of the good chemical status by 2027 in 3 aquifers will be likely much more difficult than in the others because the ecosystem services, such as pesticide biodegradation, are likely less efficient in the 3 groundwater bodies; 4) some pesticides that were banned in Europe in 2009 should be kept monitored in the next surveys because they showed a persistent occurrence in the 11 aquifers; 5) DDT forms, Dieldrin and Heptachlor are expected to damage groundwater communities at concentrations that are lower than the present legal limits.