Triggering of Rain-Induced Landlides, with Applications in Southern Italy

Landslides cause fatalities, widespread damages and economic losses. Quite frequently, they are triggered by rainfall. Many studies have investigated the relationships between rainfall characteristics and landslide events. This paper reviews the two main approaches, physical and hydrological, for modelling such relationships. In the physical approach, the influence of rainfall on slope stability is commonly analysed in terms of groundwater infiltration, pore pressure changes and balance between shear stresses and resistances, therefore a considerable amount of hydrogeological, morphological and geotechnical data is required. In the hydrological approach, a statistical-probabilistic study of rainfall series and dates of occurrence of slope movements is instead carried out. Both types of methods are briefly presented, with examples from real applications to study cases in Southern Italy. In particular, the recent reactivations of a large rockslide in Northern Calabria have been modelled by means of physical and hydrological approaches. In addition, shallow landslides in Calabria, Campania and Sicily have been modelled by employing hydrological approaches. Strengths and weaknesses of the adopted methods are discussed, together with the causes that may have hindered better results for the considered cases. For the methods illustrated through real application cases, research perspectives are discussed, as well as their possible use in early warning systems.