Una metodologia probabilistica per la determinazione della pericolosità dell'inquinamento di acque sotterranee

In this paper a methodology is proposed for the determination of the risk of worsening with reference to the concentration fixed far the drinkable use of the groundwater.A table has been defined in arder to classify the risk of worsening for groundwater quality by crossing two indexes: the first one related to the level of most recent risk (last season of sampling), the second to its temporal trend. The determination of the risk of worsening level is founded on the respect of the conditional probabilities, got by the application of the Disjunctive Kriging.