A hidden Markov model for daily rainfall occurrence over souther Calabria Ionica (Italy).

The main goal of this work is to examine the probability distribution of local daily rainfall occurrences in part of southern Calabria Ionica to sketch a framework for further studies aiming to define possible scenarios of landslide-triggering due to rainfall. Despite a large literature, the high frequency of landslide events makes necessary deep researches to determine a complete background where the problem of soil slip could be analysed in a systematic way.