Temporal structure of debris-flow triggering rainfall derived from high-resolution weather radar estimates
Abstract
Data di Pubblicazione:
2018
Abstract:
Due to the scarce representativeness of rain gauges in convective and mountainous environments, typical situations
for debris flows occurrence, the magnitude and temporal dynamics of debris-flow triggering rainfall are largely
unknown, except for a limited number of cases occurred in well instrumented catchments. Despite this, the common
risk management and research practices rely on rain gauge data. Recent studies shed light on the impact of spatial
rainfall patterns on rain gauge based early warning systems, however, only poor information is yet available on the
temporal structure of the triggering rainfall. We use high-resolution (5 min) corrected and gauge-adjusted weather
radar estimates for 11 storm events occurred in the Eastern Italian Alps, which triggered a total of 99 debris
flows, to (i) quantify the severity of the triggering rainfall on different duration scales, (ii) analyze the fine-scale
temporal structure of the triggering rainfall, and (iii) gain insights on the temporal resolution required to adequately
measure such events. Results from this study show that durations between 30 min to 3 hours are characterized by
longer return periods, with the 1-hour highest burst often contributing >70% of the total rain depth. Moreover,
the amount of rainfall preceding the strongest bursts is often larger than the amount following it. The temporal
autocorrelation of the triggering rainfall decreases sharply, with time-decorrelation distances between 15 and 45
min and rarely exceeding 1 hour. This suggests that at least 15-minute temporal resolutions should be desired to
adequately represent the development of the events.
Tipologia CRIS:
04.02 Abstract in Atti di convegno
Keywords:
debris flow; weather radar
Elenco autori:
Crema, Stefano
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